Well so far it looks like Heshy is way out with the Merc prediction. They were fast enough on the early S runs, but their qually sims fell away quickly during the lap, and they tyres and car stability was none existent into sector three. Maybe a change to their rear aero will be seen for FP3, lower T-wing, sidepod fins etc.
Ferrari to lead the Friday, very interesting. I wondering whether they ran a little more aggressive on the engine front for some reason, or whether they turned up with a very good setup. If not and it is the usual affair of seriously de-tuned engine, and overnight virtual garage and sim setup. Then they are going to be very comfortable.
RedBull leading sector 2, as well predicted, by 0.1s, maybe not enough to do the same in qualifying. Very closely matches in sector 3 with Ferrari. As C.Horner stated so far, it really is sector 1 where they are loosing massively. Which will only worsen in qualifying. End of straight speed trap they are only a couple of KPH down, but at sector 1 intermediate they are 13kph down. So that's acceleration from mid corner at T2, through T3, to the end of sector 1 which is just before the little kink right before the T4 left. That's quite significant, and relatively odd place to be so slow. Maybe that is a key section T2-T3 & maybe T4 for tyre life at the end of the lap.
Long run all tyres held on well, only some micro blistering on the US and none on the other compounds. Longs runs were heavily affected by traffic for everyone. However: In the first US stints, VET had the longest most consistent stint, only RIC was averagely a couple of tenths quicker, but had a shorter stint. Further back both Merc's. Come the second stints, VET ahead on the softs, a few tenths quicker than both Merc and RedBull who were a bit more evenly matched. RAI ran mediums, they showed the classic sign of fuel burn off and very little deg, times kept getting quicker during his 16 lap stint. VES ran US again, and was quick on them as you would expect with lower fuel levels, around 1s a lap quicker to his high fuel oad run. Tyres similar to RAI, showed signs of lasting while the fuel bruns away and time get quicker.
As for the rest, quite spaced really. Who will actually be best of rest couldn't quite say, Haas and Suaber on the next Ferrari power unit before Ferrari actually bring it. Haven't heard or read what its expected gains are, maybe a tweet to our mate Crofty to see if he knows. FI looking strong, Renault I think may be top, McLaren the only team to be worse off than last year at the track so far, everyone else has gained time.
Time deltas for the tyres.
• between ultrasoft and soft: about 0.8s/lap
• between soft and medium: about 0.5s/lap
I think pole time will be a 1:15.1
Over to you weather, are you going to make this all meaningless? and wreck my Fantasy Team again!
Yes got to agree, sky commentary was a wreck yesterday. maybe its because it been a long haul and they are delirious. Crofty was the worst I've heard in a long while. Frigin Herbet rocks up and drags the presentation down further. Any was the only one holding it together and even he had lost interest when he knew what a sh*t show it was becoming. Then FP2 got worse as Di Resta replaced Ant, it was really difficult to listen to.